Amtrak Futurecasting


This project is a case study and analysis of Amtrak as the single provider of inter-state passenger rail services in the US. 

Using the STEEP (Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, Political) framework, I researched and identified key uncertainties for Amtrak, created possible scenarios of the future in 25 years, and proposed design strategies in the context of that future space.

The following is not a prediction of the future. Rather, it is one of many possible futures that may unfold as a result of current and historical trends.

(Plus a healthy dose of conjecture.)

A brief history of Amtrak.

What happens to Amtrak if US passenger rail service is privatised?

What if single-occupant vehicles are no longer economically viable?

This scenario was based off current trends of DBOT (design, build, operate, transfer) models of public infrastructure projects prevalent in Asia, in keeping with the U.S. DOT’s call in 2008 for individual proposals for high-speed rail networks in the country.

Sourced from FHWAAmtrak, and US HSR Association.

Autonomous PRTs as a solution?

"The future is already here - it's just not very evenly distributed."

- W. Gibson